Erie Indemnity Reports First Quarter 2015 Results

Earnings release tables

Investor supplement

Erie, Pa. - April 30, 2015 - Erie Indemnity Company (NASDAQ: ERIE) today announced financial results for the quarter ending March 31, 2015. Net income per diluted share in the first quarter of 2015 was $0.74 compared to $0.88 in the first quarter of 2014.

"As we celebrate our 90th anniversary, we are proud of surpassing 5 million policies in force in the first quarter of 2015", said Terry Cavanaugh, president and chief executive officer. "We remain committed to helping and rewarding agents for profitable growth and making it easier to do business with ERIE."

Management Operations

Income from management operations before taxes decreased $5 million, or 10.3 percent, in the first quarter of 2015 compared to the first quarter of 2014.

• Revenue from management operations increased $25 million, or 7.5 percent, in the first quarter of 2015 compared to the first quarter of 2014.
  
• Commissions increased $20 million in the first quarter of 2015, compared to the same period in 2014. The majority of the increase was driven by the 7.7% increase in direct written premiums of the Property and Casualty Group, while about one-third of the increase was due to an increase in agent incentive costs related to profitable growth, compared to the prior year quarter. The estimated agent incentive payout, at the end of each quarter, is based on actual underwriting results for the two prior years and the current year-to-date period. Therefore, fluctuations in the current quarter underwriting results can impact the estimated incentive payout on a quarter-to-quarter basis.
  
• Non-commission expense increased $10 million in the first quarter of 2015, compared to the first quarter of 2014. Information technology costs increased $5 million while administrative and other expenses increased $4 million.
  
• The gross margin in the first quarter of 2015 was 14.9%, compared to 17.9% in the first quarter of 2014. The majority of the 3.0 point decrease in gross margin was driven by the increased estimated agent incentive payout discussed above. The remaining decrease in gross margin was the result of increased information technology and administrative and other costs.

Investment Operations
Income from investment operations before taxes totaled $6 million in the first quarter of 2015, compared to $11 million in the first quarter of 2014. Earnings from limited partnerships were $2 million in the first quarter of 2015 compared to earnings of $6 million in the first quarter of 2014.

Webcast Information

Indemnity has scheduled a conference call and live audio broadcast on the Web for 10:00 AM ET on May 1, 2015. Investors may access the live audio broadcast by logging on to www.erieinsurance.com. Indemnity recommends visiting the website at least 15 minutes prior to the Webcast to download and install any necessary software. A Webcast audio replay will be available on the Investor Relations page of the Erie Insurance Group's website by 12:30 PM ET.

About the Erie Insurance Group

According to A.M. Best Company, Erie Insurance Group, based in Erie, Pennsylvania, is the 11th largest homeowners insurer and 12th largest automobile insurer in the United States based on direct premiums written and the 16th largest property/casualty insurer in the United States based on total lines net premium written. The Group, rated A+ (Superior) by A.M. Best Company, has more than 5 million policies in force and operates in 12 states and the District of Columbia. Erie Insurance Group is a FORTUNE 500 and Barron's 500 company. ERIE has been recognized by Forbes as one of America's 50 Most Trustworthy Financial Companies and is on the list of Ward's 50 Group of top performing insurance companies, which analyzes the financial performance of 3,000 property and casualty companies and recognizes the top performers for achieving outstanding results in safety, consistency and financial performance over a five-year period (2009-2013).

News releases and more information about Erie Insurance Group are available at www.erieinsurance.com.

***

"Safe Harbor" Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995:
Statements contained herein that are not historical fact are forward-looking statements and, as such, are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual events and results to differ, perhaps materially, from those discussed herein. Forward-looking statements relate to future trends, events or results and include, without limitation, statements and assumptions on which such statements are based that are related to our plans, strategies, objectives, expectations, intentions and adequacy of resources. Examples of forward-looking statements are discussions relating to premium and investment income, expenses, operating results, agency relationships, and compliance with contractual and regulatory requirements. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties that are difficult to predict. Therefore, actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what is expressed or forecasted in such forward-looking statements. Among the risks and uncertainties, in addition to those set forth in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, that could cause actual results and future events to differ from those set forth or contemplated in the forward-looking statements include the following:

Risk factors related to the Erie Indemnity Company ("Indemnity") shareholder interest:

• dependence upon Indemnity's relationship with the Exchange and the management fee under the agreement with the subscribers at the Exchange;
  
• costs of providing services to the Exchange under the subscriber's agreement;
  
• ability to attract and retain talented management and employees;
  
• ability to maintain uninterrupted business operations;
  
• factors affecting the quality and liquidity of Indemnity's investment portfolio;
  
• credit risk from the Exchange;
  
• Indemnity's ability to meet liquidity needs and access capital; and
  
• outcome of pending and potential litigation.

Risk factors related to the non-controlling interest owned by the Erie Insurance Exchange ("Exchange"), which includes the Property and Casualty Group and Erie Family Life Insurance Company:

• general business and economic conditions;
  
• dependence upon the independent agency system;
  
• ability to maintain our reputation for customer service;
  
• factors affecting insurance industry competition;
  
• changes in government regulation of the insurance industry;
  
• premium rates and reserves must be established from forecasts of ultimate costs;
  
• emerging claims, coverage issues in the industry, and changes in reserve estimates related to the property and casualty business;
  
• changes in reserve estimates related to the life business;
  
• severe weather conditions or other catastrophic losses, including terrorism and pandemic events;
  
• the Exchange's ability to acquire reinsurance coverage and collectability from reinsurers;
  
• factors affecting the quality and liquidity of the Exchange's investment portfolio;
  
• the Exchange's ability to meet liquidity needs and access capital;
  
• the Exchange's ability to maintain acceptable financial strength ratings;
  
• outcome of pending and potential litigation; and
  
• dependence upon the service provided by Indemnity.

A forward-looking statement speaks only as of the date on which it is made and reflects our analysis only as of that date. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events, changes in assumptions, or otherwise.